Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 28.639482 32.593679 36.918887 42.004885 47.826931 54.289416 62.015209
2024-12-29 23.726298 29.052420 35.333816 43.303542 53.168871 65.009511 80.344138
2025-01-05 19.552649 25.553638 33.122950 43.406077 57.067916 74.673259 99.208429
2025-01-12 15.825270 21.951918 30.170902 42.063406 58.934749 82.166317 116.850263
2025-01-19 13.169738 19.307705 28.028144 41.413927 61.613393 91.228311 138.438565
2025-01-26 11.600924 17.923148 27.408400 42.812959 67.477830 105.894126 171.157008
2025-02-02 10.428737 16.928451 27.195254 44.786777 74.591733 123.785044 212.643354
2025-02-09 9.171153 15.584994 26.212614 45.356471 79.557612 139.175381 253.306219
2025-02-16 7.873567 13.957749 24.495163 44.379484 81.704481 150.182323 288.647420
2025-02-23 6.829526 12.598495 23.015763 43.558138 83.975051 161.836267 327.761225
2025-03-02 5.987328 11.468269 21.764419 42.935980 86.502806 174.451478 371.587813
2025-03-09 5.373236 10.670264 21.006239 43.135898 90.696990 191.174613 427.786602
2025-03-16 4.791014 9.862554 20.141186 43.057563 94.510152 208.313622 490.058694
2025-03-23 4.437263 9.465948 20.049086 44.616519 102.241827 235.708529 583.242974
2025-03-30 4.018049 8.862722 19.425489 44.895839 107.159193 257.808120 669.406956
2025-04-06 3.540862 8.055276 18.225871 43.633372 108.184293 270.888439 735.983654
2025-04-13 3.176461 7.446185 17.376774 43.054968 110.800042 288.545786 819.778988
2025-04-20 2.985024 7.214012 17.374153 44.588137 119.213763 323.259839 961.800296
2025-04-27 2.842124 7.077011 17.580639 46.708464 129.691253 366.061259 1140.413525
2025-05-04 2.636136 6.748687 17.255475 47.350749 136.207212 399.209501 1298.788977
2025-05-11 2.378227 6.245579 16.398917 46.363927 137.809020 418.288123 1416.990879
2025-05-18 2.156972 5.806072 15.643036 45.530395 139.725988 438.880867 1546.937265
2025-05-25 1.968442 5.427272 14.994412 44.898452 142.166888 461.821530 1692.708748